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You re going to add two models based on the same structure. In Data Mining Designer, select the Mining Models tab. To add a Na ve Bayes model, right-click on TM_DT, and then select the New Mining Model option. Type TM_NB as the name of the model and select the Microsoft Naive Bayes algorithm. Click OK. To add a Neural Network model, right-click the TM_DT model and again select the New Mining Model option. Type TM_NN as the name of the model and select the Microsoft Neural Network algorithm. Click OK. Save, deploy, and process the complete project. Don t exit BIDS. Your complete project should look like the one in figure 2.

You created three models, yet you still don t know what additional information you got, or how you can use it. In this section, we ll start with examining mining models in BIDS, in the Data Mining Designer, with the help of built-in Data Mining Viewers. The viewers show you patterns and rules in an intuitive way. After the overview of the models, you have to decide which one you re going to deploy in production. We ll use the Lift Chart built-in tool to evaluate the models. Finally, we re going to simulate the

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Another signal that traders look for is the shape of the bands For example, if the upper and lower bands suddenly contract (squeeze together), this is a clue that volatility is low Don t be fooled by a quiet and low volatile market When Bollinger Bands are very narrow, it is a signal the market could suddenly explode in the opposite direction Put another way, periods of low volatility are often followed by periods of high volatility It works the other way too If the bands are expanding, it means that the market is extremely volatile There are no guaran-

deployment by creating a prediction query. We ll use the Data Mining Extensions (DMX) language with a special DMX prediction join to join the mining model with the ProspectiveBuyer table and predict which of the prospective customers is more likely to buy a bike.

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To make an overview of the mining models, follow these steps:

tees, but it s possible that the expanding Bollinger Bands is a signal that the market could reverse direction The market doesn t usually remain in such a highly volatile period for long Periods of high volatility are often followed by low volatility For Short-Term Traders If you re a short-term trader, there are many other features that make Bollinger Bands so popular Obviously, there isn t enough room to discuss them all, but I will leave you with this small nugget: The upper and lower bands can also serve as support and resistance for individual stocks If a stock breaks below support, it could mean the start of a downward trend And if the stock breaks out above resistance, it could mean the start of an upward trend Advanced hint: John Bollinger has suggested that traders change the default settings Instead of using the defaults of 20 and 2, you would use a 50-period moving average and 21 for the standard deviation (Note: A chart of Bollinger Bands is located in 12) If you re thinking about the best way to use Bollinger Bands when trading stocks or indexes, then you ll be pleased to meet my next guest, trader and investor John Bollinger, who created Bollinger Bands He stopped by to explain other creative ways to use his indicator